Global Healthcare Reit Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.70
| GBCS Stock | USD 1.70 0.34 25.00% |
Global |
Global Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over 1.70
The tendency of Global Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.70 | 90 days | 1.70 | about 51.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Healthcare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.66 (This Global Healthcare REIT probability density function shows the probability of Global Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Global Healthcare has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Healthcare REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Healthcare REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Global Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Global Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Healthcare REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Healthcare REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Global Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Healthcare REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Global Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Global Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Global Healthcare may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Global Healthcare REIT currently holds 31.8 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.07, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Global Healthcare REIT has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Global Healthcare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Global Healthcare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Global Healthcare REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Global to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Global Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 27.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.81 M. | |
| Global Healthcare REIT currently holds about 2.96 M in cash with (270.93 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of Global Healthcare shares are held by company insiders |
Global Healthcare Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 M |
Global Healthcare Technical Analysis
Global Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Healthcare REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Global Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Global Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Healthcare's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Global Healthcare REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Healthcare REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Global Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Global Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Global Healthcare may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Global Healthcare REIT currently holds 31.8 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.07, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Global Healthcare REIT has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Global Healthcare until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Global Healthcare's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Global Healthcare REIT sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Global to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Global Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 27.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.81 M. | |
| Global Healthcare REIT currently holds about 2.96 M in cash with (270.93 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of Global Healthcare shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Global Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Global Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Global Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Global Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.