New Concept Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| GBR Stock | USD 1.18 0.04 3.28% |
New |
New Concept Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Concept to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This New Concept Energy probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Concept Energy price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $1.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon New Concept Energy has a beta of -0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New Concept are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New Concept Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New Concept Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. New Concept Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Concept
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Concept Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.New Concept Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Concept is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Concept's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Concept Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Concept within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
New Concept Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Concept for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Concept Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Concept Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| New Concept Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 152 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 155 K. | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Great Boulder Eyes Mulga Bill for Significant Gold Potential |
New Concept Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Concept's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Concept's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 447 K |
New Concept Technical Analysis
New Concept's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Concept Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Concept Predictive Forecast Models
New Concept's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Concept's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Concept's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Concept Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Concept for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Concept Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Concept Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| New Concept Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 152 K. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 155 K. | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Great Boulder Eyes Mulga Bill for Significant Gold Potential |
Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Concept's price analysis, check to measure New Concept's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Concept is operating at the current time. Most of New Concept's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Concept's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Concept's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Concept to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.