New Concept Stock Forward View
| GBR Stock | USD 0.80 0.02 2.44% |
New Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although New Concept's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of New Concept's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of New Concept fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of relative strength index of New Concept's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling New Concept, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 |
Using New Concept hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Concept Energy from the perspective of New Concept response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Concept Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29. New Concept after-hype prediction price | USD 1.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of New Concept to cross-verify your projections. New Concept Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
New Concept Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the New Concept's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1992-12-31 | Previous Quarter 356 K | Current Value 307 K | Quarterly Volatility 2.5 M |
New Concept Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Concept Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Concept's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
New Concept Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest New Concept | New Concept Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
New Concept Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting New Concept's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New Concept's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered New Concept's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Concept stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Concept stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8643 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0211 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.2869 |
Predictive Modules for New Concept
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Concept Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.New Concept After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Concept at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Concept or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New Concept, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New Concept Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Concept's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Concept's historical news coverage. New Concept's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 4.55, respectively. We have considered New Concept's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Concept is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Concept Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Concept Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New Concept is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Concept backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Concept, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 3.45 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.80 | 1.10 | 37.50 |
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New Concept Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February New Concept Energy is traded for 0.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. New is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 172.5%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 37.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on New Concept is about 491.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.91. New Concept Energy has 57 K in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.03, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. New Concept Energy has a current ratio of 69.25, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for New to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of New Concept to cross-verify your projections.New Concept Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Concept's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Concept's future price movements. Getting to know how New Concept's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Concept may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LRHC | La Rosa Holdings | 2.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 9.51 | (20.00) | 47.79 | |
| UOKA | MDJM | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.63 | (9.22) | 64.80 | |
| CMCT | Creative Media Community | (1.11) | 7 per month | 13.42 | 0.03 | 35.11 | (28.10) | 134.81 | |
| UK | Ucommune International | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.41 | (9.09) | 47.85 | |
| ALBT | Avalon GloboCare Corp | 0.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 12.31 | (14.12) | 48.54 | |
| WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.33 | (20.89) | 125.65 | |
| SGD | Safe and Green | 2.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 11.24 | (14.46) | 70.37 | |
| PW | Power REIT | 3.01 | 6 per month | 5.40 | 0.06 | 13.48 | (9.33) | 33.42 | |
| GIPR | Generationome Properties | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 12.31 | (9.59) | 32.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for New Concept
For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New Concept's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New Concept's price trends.New Concept Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New Concept stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New Concept could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Concept by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
New Concept Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Concept stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Concept shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Concept stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New Concept Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
New Concept Risk Indicators
The analysis of New Concept's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New Concept's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Variance | 12.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for New Concept
The number of cover stories for New Concept depends on current market conditions and New Concept's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Concept is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Concept's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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New Concept Short Properties
New Concept's future price predictability will typically decrease when New Concept's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Concept Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Concept's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Concept's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 363 K |
Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Concept's price analysis, check to measure New Concept's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Concept is operating at the current time. Most of New Concept's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Concept's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Concept's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Concept to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.