Green Century Balanced Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 38.09
| GCBLX Fund | USD 37.64 0.08 0.21% |
GREEN |
Green Century Target Price Odds to finish over 38.09
The tendency of GREEN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 38.09 or more in 90 days |
| 37.64 | 90 days | 38.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Century to move over $ 38.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Green Century Balanced probability density function shows the probability of GREEN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Green Century Balanced price to stay between its current price of $ 37.64 and $ 38.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Green Century has a beta of 0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Green Century average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Green Century Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Green Century Balanced has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Green Century Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Green Century
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Century Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Green Century Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Century is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Century's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Century Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Century within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Green Century Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Century for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Century Balanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres why you should consider a green 401 and how to make the change - MSN | |
| The fund retains about 31.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Green Century Technical Analysis
Green Century's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GREEN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Green Century Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing GREEN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Green Century Predictive Forecast Models
Green Century's time-series forecasting models is one of many Green Century's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Green Century's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Green Century Balanced
Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Century for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Century Balanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres why you should consider a green 401 and how to make the change - MSN | |
| The fund retains about 31.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in GREEN Mutual Fund
Green Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether GREEN Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GREEN with respect to the benefits of owning Green Century security.
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