Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.15
| GCPEF Stock | USD 0.15 0.01 7.14% |
GCL-Poly |
GCL-Poly Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.15
The tendency of GCL-Poly Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.15 | 90 days | 0.15 | about 78.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GCL-Poly Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.54 (This GCL Poly Energy Holdings probability density function shows the probability of GCL-Poly Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GCL Poly Energy Holdings has a beta of -1.72. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding GCL Poly Energy Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, GCL-Poly Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally GCL Poly Energy Holdings has an alpha of 0.1786, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GCL-Poly Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GCL-Poly Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GCL Poly Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GCL-Poly Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GCL-Poly Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GCL-Poly Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GCL-Poly Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GCL Poly Energy Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GCL-Poly Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0008 |
GCL-Poly Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GCL-Poly Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GCL Poly Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GCL Poly Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GCL Poly Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
GCL-Poly Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GCL-Poly Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GCL-Poly Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCL-Poly Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.1 B |
GCL-Poly Energy Technical Analysis
GCL-Poly Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GCL-Poly Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GCL Poly Energy Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing GCL-Poly Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GCL-Poly Energy Predictive Forecast Models
GCL-Poly Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many GCL-Poly Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GCL-Poly Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GCL Poly Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about GCL-Poly Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GCL Poly Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GCL Poly Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GCL Poly Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in GCL-Poly Pink Sheet
GCL-Poly Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether GCL-Poly Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GCL-Poly with respect to the benefits of owning GCL-Poly Energy security.