Gct Semiconductor Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.34
| GCTS Stock | 2.37 0.14 6.28% |
GCT |
GCT Semiconductor Target Price Odds to finish below 2.34
The tendency of GCT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.34 or more in 90 days |
| 2.37 | 90 days | 2.34 | about 7.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GCT Semiconductor to drop to 2.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.51 (This GCT Semiconductor Holding probability density function shows the probability of GCT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GCT Semiconductor Holding price to stay between 2.34 and its current price of 2.37 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GCT Semiconductor has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates GCT Semiconductor Holding market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GCT Semiconductor is expected to follow. Additionally GCT Semiconductor Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GCT Semiconductor Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for GCT Semiconductor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GCT Semiconductor Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GCT Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GCT Semiconductor Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GCT Semiconductor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GCT Semiconductor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GCT Semiconductor Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GCT Semiconductor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
GCT Semiconductor Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GCT Semiconductor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GCT Semiconductor Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GCT Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GCT Semiconductor has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GCT Semiconductor has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| GCT Semiconductor Holding was previously known as Concord Acquisition Corp and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CNDB. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| GCT Semiconductor generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| GCT Semiconductor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Significant Stake Increase by Cowen and Company, LLC in GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc |
GCT Semiconductor Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GCT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GCT Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCT Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258 K |
GCT Semiconductor Technical Analysis
GCT Semiconductor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GCT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GCT Semiconductor Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing GCT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GCT Semiconductor Predictive Forecast Models
GCT Semiconductor's time-series forecasting models is one of many GCT Semiconductor's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GCT Semiconductor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GCT Semiconductor Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about GCT Semiconductor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GCT Semiconductor Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GCT Semiconductor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GCT Semiconductor has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GCT Semiconductor has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| GCT Semiconductor Holding was previously known as Concord Acquisition Corp and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CNDB. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (22.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| GCT Semiconductor generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| GCT Semiconductor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Significant Stake Increase by Cowen and Company, LLC in GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc |
Additional Tools for GCT Stock Analysis
When running GCT Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure GCT Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GCT Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of GCT Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GCT Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GCT Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GCT Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.