Gct Semiconductor Holding Stock Price Prediction
| GCTS Stock | 2.37 0.14 6.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 8 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.66) |
Using GCT Semiconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GCT Semiconductor Holding from the perspective of GCT Semiconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GCT Semiconductor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GCT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
GCT Semiconductor after-hype prediction price | USD 2.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GCT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GCT Semiconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GCT Semiconductor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GCT Semiconductor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GCT Semiconductor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GCT Semiconductor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GCT Semiconductor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GCT Semiconductor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GCT Semiconductor's historical news coverage. GCT Semiconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 7.21, respectively. We have considered GCT Semiconductor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GCT Semiconductor is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GCT Semiconductor Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
GCT Semiconductor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GCT Semiconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GCT Semiconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GCT Semiconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 4.87 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.37 | 2.34 | 1.27 |
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GCT Semiconductor Hype Timeline
GCT Semiconductor Holding is currently traded for 2.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. GCT is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on GCT Semiconductor is about 608.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.28. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.51. GCT Semiconductor Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out GCT Semiconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.GCT Semiconductor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GCT Semiconductor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GCT Semiconductor's future price movements. Getting to know how GCT Semiconductor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GCT Semiconductor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | (2.14) | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.03 | 4.46 | (3.32) | 11.69 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 0.54 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.31 | (3.36) | 16.93 |
GCT Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GCT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GCT using various technical indicators. When you analyze GCT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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About GCT Semiconductor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of GCT Semiconductor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GCT Semiconductor Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GCT Semiconductor based on analysis of GCT Semiconductor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GCT Semiconductor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GCT Semiconductor's related companies. | 2010 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 1.35 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 0.91 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 35.9 | 109.35 | 69.32 | 57.22 |
Story Coverage note for GCT Semiconductor
The number of cover stories for GCT Semiconductor depends on current market conditions and GCT Semiconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GCT Semiconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GCT Semiconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GCT Semiconductor Short Properties
GCT Semiconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when GCT Semiconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GCT Semiconductor Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GCT Semiconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCT Semiconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258 K |
Additional Tools for GCT Stock Analysis
When running GCT Semiconductor's price analysis, check to measure GCT Semiconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GCT Semiconductor is operating at the current time. Most of GCT Semiconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GCT Semiconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GCT Semiconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GCT Semiconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.