Golden Heaven Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.6
| GDHG Stock | 1.65 0.06 3.77% |
Golden |
Golden Heaven Target Price Odds to finish below 28.6
The tendency of Golden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 28.60 after 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 28.60 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Golden Heaven to stay under 28.60 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Golden Heaven Group probability density function shows the probability of Golden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Golden Heaven Group price to stay between its current price of 1.65 and 28.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Golden Heaven Group has a beta of -1.09. This usually indicates Additionally Golden Heaven Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Golden Heaven Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Golden Heaven
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Heaven Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Golden Heaven Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Golden Heaven is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Golden Heaven's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Golden Heaven Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Golden Heaven within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Golden Heaven Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Golden Heaven for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Golden Heaven Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Golden Heaven Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Golden Heaven Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Golden Heaven Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Golden Heaven Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Golden Heaven generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Golden Heaven Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: GDHG Stock Dips Amidst Leisure Industry Fluctuations |
Golden Heaven Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Golden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Golden Heaven's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Heaven's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.9 K |
Golden Heaven Technical Analysis
Golden Heaven's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Golden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Golden Heaven Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Golden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Golden Heaven Predictive Forecast Models
Golden Heaven's time-series forecasting models is one of many Golden Heaven's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Golden Heaven's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Golden Heaven Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Golden Heaven for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Golden Heaven Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Golden Heaven Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Golden Heaven Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Golden Heaven Group may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Golden Heaven Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Golden Heaven generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Golden Heaven Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: GDHG Stock Dips Amidst Leisure Industry Fluctuations |
Check out Golden Heaven Backtesting, Golden Heaven Valuation, Golden Heaven Correlation, Golden Heaven Hype Analysis, Golden Heaven Volatility, Golden Heaven History as well as Golden Heaven Performance. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Heaven. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Heaven listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share 1.62 | Revenue Per Share 24.732 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.31) | Return On Assets 0.0292 |
The market value of Golden Heaven Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Heaven's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Heaven's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Heaven's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Heaven's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Heaven's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Heaven is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Heaven's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.