Gen Restaurant Group, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.33
| GENK Stock | 8.15 0.38 4.89% |
GEN |
GEN Restaurant Target Price Odds to finish below 3.33
The tendency of GEN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.33 or more in 90 days |
| 8.15 | 90 days | 3.33 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GEN Restaurant to drop to 3.33 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GEN Restaurant Group, probability density function shows the probability of GEN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GEN Restaurant Group, price to stay between 3.33 and its current price of 8.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GEN Restaurant has a beta of 0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GEN Restaurant average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GEN Restaurant Group, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GEN Restaurant Group, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GEN Restaurant Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GEN Restaurant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEN Restaurant Group,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GEN Restaurant Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GEN Restaurant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GEN Restaurant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GEN Restaurant Group,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GEN Restaurant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
GEN Restaurant Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GEN Restaurant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GEN Restaurant Group, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GEN Restaurant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GEN Restaurant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GEN Restaurant has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: GEN Restaurant Group Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.02 EPS |
GEN Restaurant Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GEN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GEN Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEN Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.6 M |
GEN Restaurant Technical Analysis
GEN Restaurant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GEN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GEN Restaurant Group,. In general, you should focus on analyzing GEN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GEN Restaurant Predictive Forecast Models
GEN Restaurant's time-series forecasting models is one of many GEN Restaurant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GEN Restaurant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GEN Restaurant Group,
Checking the ongoing alerts about GEN Restaurant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GEN Restaurant Group, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GEN Restaurant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GEN Restaurant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GEN Restaurant has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: GEN Restaurant Group Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Beats Estimates By 0.02 EPS |
Check out GEN Restaurant Backtesting, GEN Restaurant Valuation, GEN Restaurant Correlation, GEN Restaurant Hype Analysis, GEN Restaurant Volatility, GEN Restaurant History as well as GEN Restaurant Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GEN Restaurant. If investors know GEN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GEN Restaurant listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Earnings Share 2.08 | Revenue Per Share 46.076 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.159 | Return On Assets 0.0101 |
The market value of GEN Restaurant Group, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GEN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GEN Restaurant's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GEN Restaurant's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GEN Restaurant's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GEN Restaurant's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GEN Restaurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GEN Restaurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GEN Restaurant's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.