GEN Restaurant Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GENK Stock | 1.92 0.18 8.57% |
GEN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although GEN Restaurant's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of GEN Restaurant's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of GEN Restaurant fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of GEN Restaurant's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.26) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 |
Using GEN Restaurant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GEN Restaurant Group from the perspective of GEN Restaurant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GEN Restaurant Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.62. GEN Restaurant after-hype prediction price | USD 2.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEN Restaurant to cross-verify your projections. GEN Restaurant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GEN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEN using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GEN Restaurant Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GEN Restaurant Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GEN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GEN Restaurant's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GEN Restaurant Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GEN Restaurant | GEN Restaurant Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
GEN Restaurant Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GEN Restaurant's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GEN Restaurant's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.65, respectively. We have considered GEN Restaurant's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GEN Restaurant stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GEN Restaurant stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.5771 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0168 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.077 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.033 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.62 |
Predictive Modules for GEN Restaurant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEN Restaurant Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GEN Restaurant After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GEN Restaurant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEN Restaurant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GEN Restaurant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GEN Restaurant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GEN Restaurant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEN Restaurant's historical news coverage. GEN Restaurant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 5.73, respectively. We have considered GEN Restaurant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GEN Restaurant is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEN Restaurant Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
GEN Restaurant Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEN Restaurant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEN Restaurant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEN Restaurant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.73 | 0.08 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.92 | 2.00 | 4.17 |
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GEN Restaurant Hype Timeline
GEN Restaurant Group is currently traded for 1.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. GEN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.4%. The volatility of related hype on GEN Restaurant is about 9564.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.94. GEN Restaurant generates positive cash flow from operations, but has no cash availableGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEN Restaurant to cross-verify your projections.GEN Restaurant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GEN Restaurant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEN Restaurant's future price movements. Getting to know how GEN Restaurant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEN Restaurant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THCH | TH International Limited | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.02 | (7.46) | 17.70 | |
| RRGB | Red Robin Gourmet | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.75 | (4.87) | 11.57 | |
| CHSN | Chanson International Holding | 0.15 | 5 per month | 3.72 | 0.01 | 10.05 | (5.80) | 22.51 | |
| AOUT | American Outdoor Brands | 0.13 | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.14 | 4.56 | (3.74) | 16.09 | |
| HOFT | Hooker Furniture | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.31 | 6.12 | (3.25) | 14.96 | |
| LIDR | Aeye Inc | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.03 | (7.50) | 22.17 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.96 | (5.00) | 37.14 | |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.16 | (5.88) | 19.77 | |
| IRBT | IRobot | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 21.78 | (33.87) | 146.53 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.75 | (5.69) | 28.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for GEN Restaurant
For every potential investor in GEN, whether a beginner or expert, GEN Restaurant's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GEN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GEN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GEN Restaurant's price trends.GEN Restaurant Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GEN Restaurant stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GEN Restaurant could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GEN Restaurant by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GEN Restaurant Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GEN Restaurant stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GEN Restaurant shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GEN Restaurant stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GEN Restaurant Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8892.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.82) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.91 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
GEN Restaurant Risk Indicators
The analysis of GEN Restaurant's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GEN Restaurant's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.79 | |||
| Variance | 14.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GEN Restaurant
The number of cover stories for GEN Restaurant depends on current market conditions and GEN Restaurant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEN Restaurant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEN Restaurant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GEN Restaurant Short Properties
GEN Restaurant's future price predictability will typically decrease when GEN Restaurant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GEN Restaurant Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GEN Restaurant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GEN Restaurant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEN Restaurant to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GEN Restaurant. Market participants price GEN higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive GEN Restaurant assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Dividend Share 0.03 | Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
Understanding GEN Restaurant Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects GEN's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what GEN Restaurant's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push GEN Restaurant's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GEN Restaurant's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GEN Restaurant is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, GEN Restaurant's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.