GIACONDA FPO Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.67

GIADelisted Stock  USD 10.71  0.00  0.00%   
GIACONDA FPO's future price is the expected price of GIACONDA FPO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GIACONDA FPO performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
Please specify GIACONDA FPO's target price for which you would like GIACONDA FPO odds to be computed.

GIACONDA FPO Target Price Odds to finish below 10.67

The tendency of GIACONDA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.67  or more in 90 days
 10.71 90 days 10.67 
about 75.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GIACONDA FPO to drop to $ 10.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.42 (This GIACONDA FPO probability density function shows the probability of GIACONDA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GIACONDA FPO price to stay between $ 10.67  and its current price of $10.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.03 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GIACONDA FPO has a beta of 0.0484. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GIACONDA FPO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GIACONDA FPO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GIACONDA FPO has an alpha of 0.0132, implying that it can generate a 0.0132 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GIACONDA FPO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GIACONDA FPO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GIACONDA FPO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7110.7110.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.099.0911.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7010.7010.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5710.6410.72
Details

GIACONDA FPO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GIACONDA FPO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GIACONDA FPO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GIACONDA FPO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GIACONDA FPO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

GIACONDA FPO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GIACONDA FPO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GIACONDA FPO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIACONDA FPO is now traded under the symbol QTI. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
GIACONDA FPO is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
GIACONDA FPO has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
GIACONDA FPO has 861.37 K in debt. GIACONDA FPO has a current ratio of 0.36, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist GIACONDA FPO until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GIACONDA FPO's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GIACONDA FPO sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GIACONDA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GIACONDA FPO's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
GIACONDA FPO has about 55.16 K in cash with (1.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GIACONDA FPO Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIACONDA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GIACONDA FPO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GIACONDA FPO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments78.2 K

GIACONDA FPO Technical Analysis

GIACONDA FPO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIACONDA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GIACONDA FPO. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIACONDA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GIACONDA FPO Predictive Forecast Models

GIACONDA FPO's time-series forecasting models is one of many GIACONDA FPO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GIACONDA FPO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GIACONDA FPO

Checking the ongoing alerts about GIACONDA FPO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GIACONDA FPO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIACONDA FPO is now traded under the symbol QTI. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
GIACONDA FPO is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
GIACONDA FPO has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
GIACONDA FPO has 861.37 K in debt. GIACONDA FPO has a current ratio of 0.36, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist GIACONDA FPO until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GIACONDA FPO's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GIACONDA FPO sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GIACONDA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GIACONDA FPO's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.83 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.
GIACONDA FPO has about 55.16 K in cash with (1.93 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Other Consideration for investing in GIACONDA Stock

If you are still planning to invest in GIACONDA FPO check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the GIACONDA FPO's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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