GI Group (Poland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.45
| GIG Stock | 1.45 0.01 0.68% |
GIG |
GI Group Target Price Odds to finish over 1.45
The tendency of GIG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.45 | 90 days | 1.45 | about 76.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GI Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.02 (This GI Group Poland probability density function shows the probability of GIG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GI Group Poland has a beta of -0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GI Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GI Group Poland is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GI Group Poland has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GI Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GI Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GI Group Poland. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GI Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GI Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GI Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GI Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GI Group Poland, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GI Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
GI Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GI Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GI Group Poland can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GI Group Poland generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GI Group Poland may become a speculative penny stock | |
| GI Group Poland has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 450.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| GI Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
GI Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GI Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GI Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M |
GI Group Technical Analysis
GI Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GI Group Poland. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GI Group Predictive Forecast Models
GI Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many GI Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GI Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GI Group Poland
Checking the ongoing alerts about GI Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GI Group Poland help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GI Group Poland generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GI Group Poland may become a speculative penny stock | |
| GI Group Poland has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 450.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.67 M. | |
| GI Group generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for GIG Stock Analysis
When running GI Group's price analysis, check to measure GI Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GI Group is operating at the current time. Most of GI Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GI Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GI Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GI Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.