Gaming Innovation (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.20

GIGSEK Stock  SEK 25.20  0.45  1.82%   
Gaming Innovation's future price is the expected price of Gaming Innovation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gaming Innovation Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gaming Innovation Backtesting, Gaming Innovation Valuation, Gaming Innovation Correlation, Gaming Innovation Hype Analysis, Gaming Innovation Volatility, Gaming Innovation History as well as Gaming Innovation Performance.
  
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Gaming Innovation Target Price Odds to finish over 25.20

The tendency of Gaming Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.20 90 days 25.20 
about 71.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gaming Innovation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.84 (This Gaming Innovation Group probability density function shows the probability of Gaming Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gaming Innovation has a beta of 0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gaming Innovation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gaming Innovation Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gaming Innovation Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gaming Innovation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gaming Innovation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaming Innovation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaming Innovation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8725.2027.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.8126.1428.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.5924.9127.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.6325.0525.47
Details

Gaming Innovation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gaming Innovation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gaming Innovation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gaming Innovation Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gaming Innovation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Gaming Innovation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gaming Innovation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gaming Innovation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gaming Innovation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gaming Innovation has accumulated kr38.85 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 66.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (62 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.01 M.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Gaming Innovation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gaming Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gaming Innovation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaming Innovation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cash And Short Term Investments8.6 M
Shares Float59.8 M

Gaming Innovation Technical Analysis

Gaming Innovation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gaming Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gaming Innovation Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gaming Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gaming Innovation Predictive Forecast Models

Gaming Innovation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gaming Innovation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gaming Innovation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gaming Innovation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gaming Innovation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gaming Innovation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gaming Innovation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gaming Innovation has accumulated kr38.85 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
The company reported the revenue of 66.76 M. Net Loss for the year was (62 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.01 M.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Gaming Stock

Gaming Innovation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gaming Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gaming with respect to the benefits of owning Gaming Innovation security.