Gildan Activewear Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 50.45
| GIL Stock | USD 49.83 0.35 0.71% |
Gildan |
Gildan Activewear Target Price Odds to finish below 50.45
The tendency of Gildan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 50.45 after 90 days |
| 49.83 | 90 days | 50.45 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gildan Activewear to stay under $ 50.45 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Gildan Activewear probability density function shows the probability of Gildan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gildan Activewear price to stay between its current price of $ 49.83 and $ 50.45 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Gildan Activewear has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gildan Activewear average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gildan Activewear will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gildan Activewear has an alpha of 0.2284, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gildan Activewear Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gildan Activewear
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gildan Activewear. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gildan Activewear Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gildan Activewear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gildan Activewear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gildan Activewear, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gildan Activewear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gildan Activewear Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gildan Activewear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gildan Activewear can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gildan Activewear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Shoe Carnival Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Comparable Sales Dip YY |
Gildan Activewear Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gildan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gildan Activewear's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gildan Activewear's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.8 M |
Gildan Activewear Technical Analysis
Gildan Activewear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gildan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gildan Activewear. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gildan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gildan Activewear Predictive Forecast Models
Gildan Activewear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gildan Activewear's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gildan Activewear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gildan Activewear
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gildan Activewear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gildan Activewear help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gildan Activewear has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Shoe Carnival Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Comparable Sales Dip YY |
Check out Gildan Activewear Backtesting, Gildan Activewear Valuation, Gildan Activewear Correlation, Gildan Activewear Hype Analysis, Gildan Activewear Volatility, Gildan Activewear History as well as Gildan Activewear Performance. For more information on how to buy Gildan Stock please use our How to buy in Gildan Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gildan Activewear. If investors know Gildan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gildan Activewear listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.124 | Dividend Share 0.801 | Earnings Share 2.51 | Revenue Per Share 19.316 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
The market value of Gildan Activewear is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gildan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gildan Activewear's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gildan Activewear's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gildan Activewear's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gildan Activewear's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gildan Activewear's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gildan Activewear is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gildan Activewear's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.