GIMV NV (Belgium) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.75

GIMB Stock  EUR 38.75  1.35  3.61%   
GIMV NV's future price is the expected price of GIMV NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GIMV NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GIMV NV Backtesting, GIMV NV Valuation, GIMV NV Correlation, GIMV NV Hype Analysis, GIMV NV Volatility, GIMV NV History as well as GIMV NV Performance.
  
Please specify GIMV NV's target price for which you would like GIMV NV odds to be computed.

GIMV NV Target Price Odds to finish over 38.75

The tendency of GIMV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.75 90 days 38.75 
about 79.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GIMV NV to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.32 (This GIMV NV probability density function shows the probability of GIMV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GIMV NV has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GIMV NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GIMV NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GIMV NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GIMV NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GIMV NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GIMV NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7038.7539.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.2439.2940.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.5838.6339.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.2537.5738.89
Details

GIMV NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GIMV NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GIMV NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GIMV NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GIMV NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

GIMV NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GIMV NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GIMV NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIMV NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GIMV NV has accumulated about 302.88 M in cash with (38.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.63.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GIMV NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GIMV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GIMV NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GIMV NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments377.8 M

GIMV NV Technical Analysis

GIMV NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GIMV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GIMV NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing GIMV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GIMV NV Predictive Forecast Models

GIMV NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many GIMV NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GIMV NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GIMV NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about GIMV NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GIMV NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GIMV NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GIMV NV has accumulated about 302.88 M in cash with (38.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.63.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for GIMV Stock Analysis

When running GIMV NV's price analysis, check to measure GIMV NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GIMV NV is operating at the current time. Most of GIMV NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GIMV NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GIMV NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GIMV NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.