Gladstone Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.44
| GLAD Stock | USD 26.51 0.34 1.30% |
Gladstone |
Gladstone Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 25.44
The tendency of Gladstone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.44 or more in 90 days |
| 26.51 | 90 days | 25.44 | about 91.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gladstone Capital to drop to $ 25.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 91.61 (This Gladstone Capital probability density function shows the probability of Gladstone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gladstone Capital price to stay between $ 25.44 and its current price of $26.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.11 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Gladstone Capital has a beta of 0.45. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gladstone Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gladstone Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gladstone Capital has an alpha of 0.227, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gladstone Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gladstone Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gladstone Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gladstone Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gladstone Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gladstone Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gladstone Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gladstone Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Gladstone Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gladstone Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gladstone Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63.15 M. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Capital paid $ 0.165 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Gladstone Capital reports mixed results, optimistic outlook |
Gladstone Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gladstone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gladstone Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Gladstone Capital Technical Analysis
Gladstone Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gladstone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gladstone Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gladstone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gladstone Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Gladstone Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gladstone Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gladstone Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gladstone Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gladstone Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gladstone Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63.15 M. | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Gladstone Capital paid $ 0.165 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Gladstone Capital reports mixed results, optimistic outlook |
Check out Gladstone Capital Backtesting, Gladstone Capital Valuation, Gladstone Capital Correlation, Gladstone Capital Hype Analysis, Gladstone Capital Volatility, Gladstone Capital History as well as Gladstone Capital Performance. For information on how to trade Gladstone Stock refer to our How to Trade Gladstone Stock guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gladstone Capital. If investors know Gladstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gladstone Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | Earnings Share 4.34 | Revenue Per Share 4.54 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.126 | Return On Assets 0.058 |
The market value of Gladstone Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gladstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gladstone Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gladstone Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gladstone Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gladstone Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gladstone Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gladstone Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gladstone Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.