Gladstone Capital Stock Price Prediction
| GLAD Stock | USD 26.51 0.34 1.30% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.52 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.05 | Wall Street Target Price 24.375 |
Using Gladstone Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Capital from the perspective of Gladstone Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gladstone Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gladstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gladstone Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 26.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gladstone |
Gladstone Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Capital's historical news coverage. Gladstone Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.64 and 27.42, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 0.89 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.51 | 26.53 | 0.08 |
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Gladstone Capital Hype Timeline
Gladstone Capital is currently traded for 26.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gladstone is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 26.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Capital is about 6472.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.51. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 96.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 63.15 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Gladstone Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAIN | Main Street Capital | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.45 | 0.07 | 1.12 | (1.28) | 3.02 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.00 | (0.07) | 1.09 | (1.13) | 5.12 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.94 | (2.10) | 5.65 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.65 | (2.01) | 19.03 | |
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.02 | 1.76 | (2.39) | 6.95 | |
| SCM | Stellus Capital Investment | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.63 | (0.05) | 1.22 | (1.29) | 4.47 | |
| WHF | WhiteHorse Finance | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.54 | (1.54) | 7.36 | |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.47 | 0.01 | 1.20 | (0.92) | 3.12 |
Gladstone Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gladstone Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gladstone Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Capital based on analysis of Gladstone Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gladstone Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gladstone Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0937 | 0.0984 | 0.0886 | 0.0545 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.01 | 4.16 | 5.42 | 5.15 |
Story Coverage note for Gladstone Capital
The number of cover stories for Gladstone Capital depends on current market conditions and Gladstone Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gladstone Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gladstone Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gladstone Capital Short Properties
Gladstone Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gladstone Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gladstone Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gladstone Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gladstone Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Gladstone Stock analysis
When running Gladstone Capital's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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