Global Vectra (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 224.79

GLOBALVECT   271.45  12.90  4.99%   
Global Vectra's future price is the expected price of Global Vectra instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Vectra Helicorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Vectra Backtesting, Global Vectra Valuation, Global Vectra Correlation, Global Vectra Hype Analysis, Global Vectra Volatility, Global Vectra History as well as Global Vectra Performance.
  
Please specify Global Vectra's target price for which you would like Global Vectra odds to be computed.

Global Vectra Target Price Odds to finish below 224.79

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  224.79  or more in 90 days
 271.45 90 days 224.79 
about 1.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Vectra to drop to  224.79  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.29 (This Global Vectra Helicorp probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Vectra Helicorp price to stay between  224.79  and its current price of 271.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global Vectra has a beta of 0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Global Vectra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Global Vectra Helicorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Global Vectra Helicorp has an alpha of 0.1167, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Vectra Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Vectra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Vectra Helicorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
268.26271.45274.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
230.15233.34298.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
274.65277.84281.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
243.03264.67286.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Global Vectra. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Global Vectra's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Global Vectra's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Global Vectra Helicorp.

Global Vectra Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Vectra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Vectra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Vectra Helicorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Vectra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
26.38
Ir
Information ratio 0

Global Vectra Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Vectra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Vectra Helicorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Vectra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Global Vectra Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Vectra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Vectra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Cash And Short Term Investments22.4 M

Global Vectra Technical Analysis

Global Vectra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Vectra Helicorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Vectra Predictive Forecast Models

Global Vectra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Vectra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Vectra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Vectra Helicorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Vectra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Vectra Helicorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Vectra had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis

When running Global Vectra's price analysis, check to measure Global Vectra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Vectra is operating at the current time. Most of Global Vectra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Vectra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Vectra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Vectra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.