Galp Energa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 7.39
| GLPEY Stock | USD 8.52 0.35 4.28% |
Galp |
Galp Energa Target Price Odds to finish over 7.39
The tendency of Galp Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 7.39 in 90 days |
| 8.52 | 90 days | 7.39 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galp Energa to stay above $ 7.39 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Galp Energa probability density function shows the probability of Galp Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galp Energa price to stay between $ 7.39 and its current price of $8.52 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Galp Energa has a beta of 0.0906. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Galp Energa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Galp Energa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Galp Energa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Galp Energa Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galp Energa
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galp Energa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galp Energa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galp Energa Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galp Energa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galp Energa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galp Energa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galp Energa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Galp Energa Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galp Energa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galp Energa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Galp Energa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Galp Energa Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galp Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galp Energa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galp Energa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Galp Energa Technical Analysis
Galp Energa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galp Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galp Energa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galp Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galp Energa Predictive Forecast Models
Galp Energa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galp Energa's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galp Energa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galp Energa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galp Energa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galp Energa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Galp Energa generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Galp Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Galp Energa's price analysis, check to measure Galp Energa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galp Energa is operating at the current time. Most of Galp Energa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galp Energa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galp Energa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galp Energa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.