Goodman Group Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 22.48
| GMGSF Stock | USD 22.25 0.62 2.87% |
Goodman |
Goodman Target Price Odds to finish below 22.48
The tendency of Goodman Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.48 after 90 days |
| 22.25 | 90 days | 22.48 | about 43.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goodman to stay under $ 22.48 after 90 days from now is about 43.42 (This Goodman Group probability density function shows the probability of Goodman Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Goodman Group price to stay between its current price of $ 22.25 and $ 22.48 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Goodman Group has a beta of -0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Goodman are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Goodman Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Goodman Group has an alpha of 0.0831, implying that it can generate a 0.0831 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Goodman Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Goodman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodman Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goodman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Goodman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goodman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goodman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goodman Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goodman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Goodman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goodman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goodman Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Goodman Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Goodman Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Goodman Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Goodman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goodman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Goodman Technical Analysis
Goodman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goodman Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goodman Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goodman Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Goodman Predictive Forecast Models
Goodman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Goodman's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Goodman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Goodman Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Goodman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goodman Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Goodman Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Goodman Pink Sheet
Goodman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodman Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodman with respect to the benefits of owning Goodman security.