Goodman Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GMGSF Stock  USD 22.25  0.62  2.87%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Goodman Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.61. Goodman Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Goodman's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Goodman Group is based on a synthetically constructed Goodmandaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Goodman 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Goodman Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 3.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodman Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodman's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goodman Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Goodman Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goodman's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodman's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.48 and 26.48, respectively. We have considered Goodman's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.25
22.48
Expected Value
26.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodman pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodman pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.5033
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0067
MADMean absolute deviation1.4539
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0624
SAESum of the absolute errors59.6095
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Goodman Group 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Goodman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodman Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Goodman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2522.2526.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.8818.8822.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.2522.2522.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Goodman

For every potential investor in Goodman, whether a beginner or expert, Goodman's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodman Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodman's price trends.

Goodman Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goodman pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goodman could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodman by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goodman Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goodman's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goodman's current price.

Goodman Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodman pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodman shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodman pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Goodman Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goodman Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goodman's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodman's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodman pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Goodman Pink Sheet

Goodman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodman Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodman with respect to the benefits of owning Goodman security.