Gmo Global Asset Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 33.75

GMWAX Fund  USD 33.75  0.13  0.39%   
Gmo Global's future price is the expected price of Gmo Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gmo Global Asset performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gmo Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gmo Global Correlation, Gmo Global Hype Analysis, Gmo Global Volatility, Gmo Global History as well as Gmo Global Performance.
  
Please specify Gmo Global's target price for which you would like Gmo Global odds to be computed.

Gmo Global Target Price Odds to finish over 33.75

The tendency of Gmo Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.75 90 days 33.75 
about 88.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gmo Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.4 (This Gmo Global Asset probability density function shows the probability of Gmo Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gmo Global has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gmo Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gmo Global Asset will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gmo Global Asset has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gmo Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gmo Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gmo Global Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2733.7534.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.4033.8834.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.8333.3133.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.5833.7133.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gmo Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gmo Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gmo Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gmo Global Asset.

Gmo Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gmo Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gmo Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gmo Global Asset, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gmo Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Gmo Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gmo Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gmo Global Asset can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gmo Global Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Gmo Global Technical Analysis

Gmo Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gmo Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gmo Global Asset. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gmo Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gmo Global Predictive Forecast Models

Gmo Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gmo Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gmo Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gmo Global Asset

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gmo Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gmo Global Asset help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gmo Global Asset generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

Gmo Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gmo Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gmo with respect to the benefits of owning Gmo Global security.
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