Genfit (France) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.67
| GNFT Stock | EUR 3.94 0.04 1.01% |
Genfit |
Genfit Target Price Odds to finish below 3.67
The tendency of Genfit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.67 or more in 90 days |
| 3.94 | 90 days | 3.67 | about 6.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genfit to drop to € 3.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.74 (This Genfit probability density function shows the probability of Genfit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genfit price to stay between € 3.67 and its current price of €3.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Genfit has a beta of 0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Genfit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Genfit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Genfit has an alpha of 0.0226, implying that it can generate a 0.0226 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Genfit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Genfit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genfit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genfit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genfit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genfit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genfit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genfit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0064 |
Genfit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genfit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genfit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Genfit had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Genfit has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Genfit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genfit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genfit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genfit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258.8 M |
Genfit Technical Analysis
Genfit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genfit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genfit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genfit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Genfit Predictive Forecast Models
Genfit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Genfit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genfit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Genfit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Genfit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genfit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Genfit had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Genfit has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Genfit Stock
When determining whether Genfit is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Genfit Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Genfit Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Genfit Stock:Check out Genfit Backtesting, Genfit Valuation, Genfit Correlation, Genfit Hype Analysis, Genfit Volatility, Genfit History as well as Genfit Performance. For information on how to trade Genfit Stock refer to our How to Trade Genfit Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.