Gielda Papierow (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.05
| GPW Stock | 41.50 0.45 1.07% |
Gielda |
Gielda Papierow Target Price Odds to finish over 44.05
The tendency of Gielda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 44.05 or more in 90 days |
| 41.50 | 90 days | 44.05 | about 21.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gielda Papierow to move over 44.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.87 (This Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych probability density function shows the probability of Gielda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gielda Papierow Wart price to stay between its current price of 41.50 and 44.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gielda Papierow are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gielda Papierow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gielda Papierow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gielda Papierow Wart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gielda Papierow's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gielda Papierow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gielda Papierow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gielda Papierow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gielda Papierow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Gielda Papierow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gielda Papierow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gielda Papierow Wart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gielda Papierow Wart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Gielda Papierow Technical Analysis
Gielda Papierow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gielda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gielda Papierow Wartosciowych. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gielda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gielda Papierow Predictive Forecast Models
Gielda Papierow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gielda Papierow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gielda Papierow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gielda Papierow Wart
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gielda Papierow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gielda Papierow Wart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gielda Papierow Wart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Gielda Stock Analysis
When running Gielda Papierow's price analysis, check to measure Gielda Papierow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gielda Papierow is operating at the current time. Most of Gielda Papierow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gielda Papierow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gielda Papierow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gielda Papierow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.