Grenergy Renovables (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.68

GRE Stock  EUR 28.95  0.70  2.36%   
Grenergy Renovables' future price is the expected price of Grenergy Renovables instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grenergy Renovables SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grenergy Renovables Backtesting, Grenergy Renovables Valuation, Grenergy Renovables Correlation, Grenergy Renovables Hype Analysis, Grenergy Renovables Volatility, Grenergy Renovables History as well as Grenergy Renovables Performance.
  
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Grenergy Renovables Target Price Odds to finish over 30.68

The tendency of Grenergy Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 30.68  or more in 90 days
 28.95 90 days 30.68 
about 83.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grenergy Renovables to move over € 30.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 83.4 (This Grenergy Renovables SA probability density function shows the probability of Grenergy Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grenergy Renovables price to stay between its current price of € 28.95  and € 30.68  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grenergy Renovables SA has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grenergy Renovables are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grenergy Renovables SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grenergy Renovables SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grenergy Renovables Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grenergy Renovables

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grenergy Renovables. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.2028.9531.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.6226.3729.12
Details

Grenergy Renovables Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grenergy Renovables is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grenergy Renovables' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grenergy Renovables SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grenergy Renovables within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.28
σ
Overall volatility
2.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Grenergy Renovables Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grenergy Renovables for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grenergy Renovables can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grenergy Renovables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Grenergy Renovables Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grenergy Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grenergy Renovables' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grenergy Renovables' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.7 M

Grenergy Renovables Technical Analysis

Grenergy Renovables' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grenergy Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grenergy Renovables SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grenergy Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grenergy Renovables Predictive Forecast Models

Grenergy Renovables' time-series forecasting models is one of many Grenergy Renovables' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grenergy Renovables' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grenergy Renovables

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grenergy Renovables for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grenergy Renovables help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grenergy Renovables generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Grenergy Stock

Grenergy Renovables financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grenergy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grenergy with respect to the benefits of owning Grenergy Renovables security.