Grimoldi (Argentina) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 409.0

GRIM Stock  ARS 1,200  25.00  2.04%   
Grimoldi's future price is the expected price of Grimoldi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grimoldi SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grimoldi Backtesting, Grimoldi Valuation, Grimoldi Correlation, Grimoldi Hype Analysis, Grimoldi Volatility, Grimoldi History as well as Grimoldi Performance.
  
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Grimoldi Target Price Odds to finish over 409.0

The tendency of Grimoldi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  409.00  in 90 days
 1,200 90 days 409.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grimoldi to stay above  409.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Grimoldi SA probability density function shows the probability of Grimoldi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grimoldi SA price to stay between  409.00  and its current price of 1200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grimoldi SA has a beta of -0.92. This usually indicates Additionally Grimoldi SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grimoldi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grimoldi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grimoldi SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1971,2001,203
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0581,0601,320
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1201,1231,125
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,1251,2351,345
Details

Grimoldi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grimoldi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grimoldi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grimoldi SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grimoldi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.92
σ
Overall volatility
75.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Grimoldi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grimoldi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grimoldi SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grimoldi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Grimoldi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grimoldi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grimoldi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grimoldi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.3 M

Grimoldi Technical Analysis

Grimoldi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grimoldi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grimoldi SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grimoldi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grimoldi Predictive Forecast Models

Grimoldi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grimoldi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grimoldi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grimoldi SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grimoldi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grimoldi SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grimoldi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Grimoldi Stock

Grimoldi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grimoldi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grimoldi with respect to the benefits of owning Grimoldi security.