Grand City Properties Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 12.09

GRNNF Stock  USD 12.09  1.00  7.64%   
Grand City's future price is the expected price of Grand City instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grand City Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grand City Backtesting, Grand City Valuation, Grand City Correlation, Grand City Hype Analysis, Grand City Volatility, Grand City History as well as Grand City Performance.
  
Please specify Grand City's target price for which you would like Grand City odds to be computed.

Grand City Target Price Odds to finish over 12.09

The tendency of Grand Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.09 90 days 12.09 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grand City to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Grand City Properties probability density function shows the probability of Grand Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Grand City Properties has a beta of -0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grand City are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grand City Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grand City Properties has an alpha of 0.0475, implying that it can generate a 0.0475 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Grand City Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grand City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand City Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9712.0913.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4512.5713.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2711.3912.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.2113.4514.69
Details

Grand City Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grand City is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grand City's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grand City Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grand City within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Grand City Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grand City for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grand City Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand City generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Grand City Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grand Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grand City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding165 M

Grand City Technical Analysis

Grand City's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grand Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grand City Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grand Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grand City Predictive Forecast Models

Grand City's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grand City's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grand City's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grand City Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grand City for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grand City Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grand City generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Grand Pink Sheet

Grand City financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grand Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grand with respect to the benefits of owning Grand City security.