Gateway Fund Class Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 45.62
| GTECX Fund | USD 46.31 0.10 0.22% |
GATEWAY |
Gateway Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 45.62
The tendency of GATEWAY Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 45.62 or more in 90 days |
| 46.31 | 90 days | 45.62 | about 81.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gateway Fund to drop to $ 45.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.03 (This Gateway Fund Class probability density function shows the probability of GATEWAY Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gateway Fund Class price to stay between $ 45.62 and its current price of $46.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gateway Fund has a beta of 0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gateway Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gateway Fund Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gateway Fund Class has an alpha of 0.0041, implying that it can generate a 0.0041 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gateway Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gateway Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gateway Fund Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gateway Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gateway Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gateway Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gateway Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gateway Fund Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gateway Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Gateway Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gateway Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gateway Fund Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 96.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Gateway Fund Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GATEWAY Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gateway Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gateway Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Gateway Fund Technical Analysis
Gateway Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GATEWAY Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gateway Fund Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing GATEWAY Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gateway Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Gateway Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gateway Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gateway Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gateway Fund Class
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gateway Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gateway Fund Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 96.73% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in GATEWAY Mutual Fund
Gateway Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether GATEWAY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GATEWAY with respect to the benefits of owning Gateway Fund security.
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