Gates Industrial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.94
| GTES Stock | USD 21.39 0.30 1.42% |
Gates |
Gates Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 21.94
The tendency of Gates Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.94 or more in 90 days |
| 21.39 | 90 days | 21.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gates Industrial to move over $ 21.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gates Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Gates Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gates Industrial price to stay between its current price of $ 21.39 and $ 21.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gates Industrial will likely underperform. Additionally Gates Industrial has an alpha of 0.1495, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gates Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gates Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gates Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gates Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gates Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gates Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gates Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gates Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gates Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Gates Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gates Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gates Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gates Industrial Net Issuance of Preferred Stock 0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Gates Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gates Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gates Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gates Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 275.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 720.6 M |
Gates Industrial Technical Analysis
Gates Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gates Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gates Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gates Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gates Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
Gates Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gates Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gates Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gates Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gates Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gates Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Gates Industrial Net Issuance of Preferred Stock 0 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Gates Stock Analysis
When running Gates Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Gates Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gates Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Gates Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gates Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gates Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gates Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.