Total Market Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.15

GTTMX Fund  USD 21.47  0.24  1.13%   
Total Market's future price is the expected price of Total Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Total Market Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Total Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Total Market Correlation, Total Market Hype Analysis, Total Market Volatility, Total Market History as well as Total Market Performance.
  
Please specify Total Market's target price for which you would like Total Market odds to be computed.

Total Market Target Price Odds to finish below 20.15

The tendency of Total Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.15  or more in 90 days
 21.47 90 days 20.15 
about 41.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Total Market to drop to $ 20.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 41.13 (This Total Market Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Total Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Total Market Portfolio price to stay between $ 20.15  and its current price of $21.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This usually indicates Total Market Portfolio market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Total Market is expected to follow. Additionally Total Market Portfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Total Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Total Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Total Market Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5121.4722.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2421.2022.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8620.8221.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7021.1921.68
Details

Total Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Total Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Total Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Total Market Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Total Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0072
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio 0

Total Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Total Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Total Market Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Total Market Technical Analysis

Total Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Total Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Total Market Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Total Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Total Market Predictive Forecast Models

Total Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Total Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Total Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Total Market Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Total Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Total Market Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.62% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Total Mutual Fund

Total Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Total Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Total with respect to the benefits of owning Total Market security.
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