Guerrilla Rf Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 2.25
| GUER Stock | USD 1.10 0.20 22.22% |
Guerrilla |
Guerrilla Target Price Odds to finish below 2.25
The tendency of Guerrilla OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.25 after 90 days |
| 1.10 | 90 days | 2.25 | about 32.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guerrilla to stay under $ 2.25 after 90 days from now is about 32.4 (This Guerrilla RF probability density function shows the probability of Guerrilla OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guerrilla RF price to stay between its current price of $ 1.10 and $ 2.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guerrilla has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guerrilla average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guerrilla RF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guerrilla RF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guerrilla Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guerrilla
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guerrilla RF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guerrilla's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guerrilla Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guerrilla is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guerrilla's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guerrilla RF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guerrilla within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Guerrilla Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guerrilla for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guerrilla RF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guerrilla RF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guerrilla RF has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guerrilla RF may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Guerrilla RF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.14 M. | |
| Guerrilla RF currently holds about 1.7 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guerrilla Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guerrilla OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guerrilla's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guerrilla's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.6 M |
Guerrilla Technical Analysis
Guerrilla's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guerrilla OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guerrilla RF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guerrilla OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guerrilla Predictive Forecast Models
Guerrilla's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guerrilla's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guerrilla's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guerrilla RF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guerrilla for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guerrilla RF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guerrilla RF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guerrilla RF has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Guerrilla RF may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Guerrilla RF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.14 M. | |
| Guerrilla RF currently holds about 1.7 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Guerrilla OTC Stock Analysis
When running Guerrilla's price analysis, check to measure Guerrilla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guerrilla is operating at the current time. Most of Guerrilla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guerrilla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guerrilla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guerrilla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.