Guerrilla Rf Stock Performance
| GUER Stock | USD 1.80 0.05 2.70% |
Guerrilla holds a performance score of 8 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.14, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guerrilla's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guerrilla is expected to be smaller as well. Use Guerrilla RF value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to analyze future returns on Guerrilla RF.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guerrilla RF are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively fragile technical and fundamental indicators, Guerrilla reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 427.3 K | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -393.4 K |
Guerrilla |
Guerrilla Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 120.00 in Guerrilla RF on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 60.00 from holding Guerrilla RF or generate 50.0% return on investment over 90 days. Guerrilla RF is currently generating 1.2311% in daily expected returns and assumes 11.1219% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 99% of otc stocks are less volatile than Guerrilla, and 76% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Guerrilla Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Guerrilla OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.80 | 90 days | 1.80 | about 67.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guerrilla to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.09 (This Guerrilla RF probability density function shows the probability of Guerrilla OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guerrilla has a beta of 0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guerrilla average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guerrilla RF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Guerrilla RF has an alpha of 1.2162, implying that it can generate a 1.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Guerrilla Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guerrilla
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guerrilla RF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guerrilla's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guerrilla Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guerrilla is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guerrilla's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guerrilla RF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guerrilla within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Guerrilla Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guerrilla for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guerrilla RF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guerrilla RF is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guerrilla RF may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Guerrilla RF appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guerrilla RF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.14 M. | |
| Guerrilla RF currently holds about 1.7 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guerrilla Fundamentals Growth
Guerrilla OTC Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guerrilla, and Guerrilla fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guerrilla OTC Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -13.65 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.68 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.86) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.81) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 61.31 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 33.72 M | |||
| Price To Book | 36.38 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 4.53 X | |||
| Revenue | 10.48 M | |||
| EBITDA | (1.91 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.7 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | |||
| Total Debt | 144.78 K | |||
| Debt To Equity | 1.10 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.04 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (4.82 M) | |||
| Total Asset | 10.63 M | |||
About Guerrilla Performance
Assessing Guerrilla's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Guerrilla's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Guerrilla is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Guerrilla RF, Inc., a fabless semiconductor company, provides radio frequency solutions to customers in underserved markets. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Greensboro, North Carolina. Guerrilla operates under Semiconductors classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 65 people.Things to note about Guerrilla RF performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guerrilla for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. OTC Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guerrilla RF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guerrilla RF is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Guerrilla RF may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Guerrilla RF appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Guerrilla RF has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.14 M. | |
| Guerrilla RF currently holds about 1.7 M in cash with (4.82 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
- Analyzing Guerrilla's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guerrilla's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Guerrilla's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Guerrilla's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guerrilla's management team can help you assess the OTC Stock's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guerrilla's otc stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guerrilla's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Guerrilla OTC Stock Analysis
When running Guerrilla's price analysis, check to measure Guerrilla's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guerrilla is operating at the current time. Most of Guerrilla's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guerrilla's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guerrilla's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guerrilla to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.