Gulf Keystone Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.94
| GUKYF Stock | USD 1.79 0.06 3.24% |
Gulf |
Gulf Keystone Target Price Odds to finish over 1.94
The tendency of Gulf Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.94 or more in 90 days |
| 1.79 | 90 days | 1.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulf Keystone to move over $ 1.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Gulf Keystone Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Gulf Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulf Keystone Petroleum price to stay between its current price of $ 1.79 and $ 1.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.07 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gulf Keystone Petroleum has a beta of -0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gulf Keystone are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gulf Keystone Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gulf Keystone Petroleum has an alpha of 0.2997, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gulf Keystone Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Keystone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Keystone Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Keystone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gulf Keystone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulf Keystone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulf Keystone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulf Keystone Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulf Keystone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Gulf Keystone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulf Keystone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulf Keystone Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulf Keystone may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gulf Keystone had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Gulf Keystone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulf Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulf Keystone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Keystone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.7 M |
Gulf Keystone Technical Analysis
Gulf Keystone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulf Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Keystone Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulf Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulf Keystone Predictive Forecast Models
Gulf Keystone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulf Keystone's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulf Keystone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gulf Keystone Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulf Keystone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulf Keystone Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gulf Keystone may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gulf Keystone had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Gulf Pink Sheet
Gulf Keystone financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gulf Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gulf with respect to the benefits of owning Gulf Keystone security.