Guru Organic Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| GURU Stock | CAD 1.57 0.03 1.88% |
Guru |
Guru Organic Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Guru Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 1.57 | 90 days | 0.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guru Organic to drop to C$ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Guru Organic Energy probability density function shows the probability of Guru Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Guru Organic Energy price to stay between C$ 0.02 and its current price of C$1.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Guru Organic has a beta of 0.36. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guru Organic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guru Organic Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guru Organic Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Guru Organic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Guru Organic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guru Organic Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Guru Organic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guru Organic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guru Organic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guru Organic Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guru Organic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Guru Organic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guru Organic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guru Organic Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Guru Organic Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guru Organic Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 29.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.69 M. | |
| Guru Organic Energy has accumulated about 25.49 M in cash with (9.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Guru Organic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guru Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guru Organic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guru Organic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.8 M |
Guru Organic Technical Analysis
Guru Organic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Guru Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Guru Organic Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Guru Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Guru Organic Predictive Forecast Models
Guru Organic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Guru Organic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Guru Organic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Guru Organic Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Guru Organic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Guru Organic Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Guru Organic Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Guru Organic Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 29.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.69 M. | |
| Guru Organic Energy has accumulated about 25.49 M in cash with (9.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.49. | |
| Roughly 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Guru Stock
Guru Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guru Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guru with respect to the benefits of owning Guru Organic security.