Angus Ventures Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.38

GUS Stock  CAD 0.40  0.03  6.98%   
Angus Ventures' future price is the expected price of Angus Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Angus Ventures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Angus Ventures Backtesting, Angus Ventures Valuation, Angus Ventures Correlation, Angus Ventures Hype Analysis, Angus Ventures Volatility, Angus Ventures History as well as Angus Ventures Performance.
  
At this time, Angus Ventures' Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to climb to 0.17 in 2024, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop (6.70) in 2024. Please specify Angus Ventures' target price for which you would like Angus Ventures odds to be computed.

Angus Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 0.38

The tendency of Angus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 0.38  or more in 90 days
 0.40 90 days 0.38 
about 1.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Angus Ventures to drop to C$ 0.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.17 (This Angus Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Angus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Angus Ventures price to stay between C$ 0.38  and its current price of C$0.4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Angus Ventures has a beta of -1.02. This usually indicates Additionally Angus Ventures has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Angus Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Angus Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Angus Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.434.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.384.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.434.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.370.410.45
Details

Angus Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Angus Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Angus Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Angus Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Angus Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Angus Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Angus Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Angus Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angus Ventures generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Angus Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Angus Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Angus Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Angus Ventures has accumulated about 2.09 M in cash with (5.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Angus Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Angus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Angus Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Angus Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding49.1 M

Angus Ventures Technical Analysis

Angus Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Angus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Angus Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Angus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Angus Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Angus Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Angus Ventures' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Angus Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Angus Ventures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Angus Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Angus Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Angus Ventures generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Angus Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Angus Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Angus Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (4.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Angus Ventures has accumulated about 2.09 M in cash with (5.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Angus Stock Analysis

When running Angus Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Angus Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Angus Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Angus Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Angus Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Angus Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Angus Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.