GavYam Lands (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2948.0

GVYM Stock   2,948  78.00  2.72%   
GavYam Lands' future price is the expected price of GavYam Lands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GavYam Lands Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GavYam Lands Backtesting, GavYam Lands Valuation, GavYam Lands Correlation, GavYam Lands Hype Analysis, GavYam Lands Volatility, GavYam Lands History as well as GavYam Lands Performance.
  
Please specify GavYam Lands' target price for which you would like GavYam Lands odds to be computed.

GavYam Lands Target Price Odds to finish below 2948.0

The tendency of GavYam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2,948 90 days 2,948 
about 64.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GavYam Lands to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 64.03 (This GavYam Lands Corp probability density function shows the probability of GavYam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GavYam Lands has a beta of 0.0645. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GavYam Lands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GavYam Lands Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GavYam Lands Corp has an alpha of 0.1086, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GavYam Lands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GavYam Lands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GavYam Lands Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9472,9482,949
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,8902,8913,243
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,9012,9022,904
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,8482,9222,996
Details

GavYam Lands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GavYam Lands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GavYam Lands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GavYam Lands Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GavYam Lands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
111.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.0029

GavYam Lands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GavYam Lands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GavYam Lands Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GavYam Lands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GavYam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GavYam Lands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GavYam Lands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding214.5 M

GavYam Lands Technical Analysis

GavYam Lands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GavYam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GavYam Lands Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing GavYam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GavYam Lands Predictive Forecast Models

GavYam Lands' time-series forecasting models is one of many GavYam Lands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GavYam Lands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GavYam Lands Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about GavYam Lands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GavYam Lands Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 87.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GavYam Stock

GavYam Lands financial ratios help investors to determine whether GavYam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GavYam with respect to the benefits of owning GavYam Lands security.