Global Water Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.10

GWRS Stock  USD 13.10  0.17  1.28%   
Global Water's future price is the expected price of Global Water instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Water Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Water Backtesting, Global Water Valuation, Global Water Correlation, Global Water Hype Analysis, Global Water Volatility, Global Water History as well as Global Water Performance.
  
At this time, Global Water's Price Earnings Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 1.10 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 5.41 in 2024. Please specify Global Water's target price for which you would like Global Water odds to be computed.

Global Water Target Price Odds to finish over 13.10

The tendency of Global Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.10 90 days 13.10 
about 11.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Water to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.3 (This Global Water Resources probability density function shows the probability of Global Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Global Water will likely underperform. Additionally Global Water Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Global Water Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Water

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Water Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3813.2515.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9714.8416.71
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.2016.7018.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.070.07
Details

Global Water Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Water is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Water's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Water Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Water within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Global Water Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Water for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Water Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Water Resources currently holds 108.91 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.76, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Global Water Resources has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Global Water's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Global Water shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of October 2024 Global Water paid $ 0.0251 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Global Water Resources Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Growth Amidst ...

Global Water Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding24.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 M

Global Water Technical Analysis

Global Water's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Water Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Water Predictive Forecast Models

Global Water's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Water's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Water's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Water Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Water for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Water Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Water Resources currently holds 108.91 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.76, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Global Water Resources has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Global Water's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 52.0% of Global Water shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of October 2024 Global Water paid $ 0.0251 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Global Water Resources Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Growth Amidst ...

Additional Tools for Global Stock Analysis

When running Global Water's price analysis, check to measure Global Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Water is operating at the current time. Most of Global Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.