Herc Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 226.6
| H9B1 Stock | 208.00 2.00 0.97% |
Herc |
Herc Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 226.6
The tendency of Herc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 226.60 or more in 90 days |
| 208.00 | 90 days | 226.60 | roughly 2.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Herc Holdings to move over 226.60 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.2 (This Herc Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Herc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Herc Holdings price to stay between its current price of 208.00 and 226.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Herc Holdings has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Herc Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Herc Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Herc Holdings has an alpha of 0.7602, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Herc Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Herc Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Herc Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Herc Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Herc Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Herc Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Herc Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Herc Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 33.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Herc Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Herc Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Herc Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Herc Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Herc Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Herc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Herc Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Herc Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.9 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 68.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 16.1 M |
Herc Holdings Technical Analysis
Herc Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Herc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Herc Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Herc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Herc Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Herc Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Herc Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Herc Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Herc Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Herc Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Herc Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Herc Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Additional Tools for Herc Stock Analysis
When running Herc Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Herc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Herc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Herc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Herc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Herc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Herc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.