HAGA SA (Brazil) Odds of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 1.15
| HAGA4 Preferred Stock | BRL 1.32 0.02 1.54% |
HAGA |
HAGA SA Target Price Odds to finish below 1.15
The tendency of HAGA Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 1.15 or more in 90 days |
| 1.32 | 90 days | 1.15 | about 12.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HAGA SA to drop to R$ 1.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.4 (This HAGA SA Indstria probability density function shows the probability of HAGA Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HAGA SA Indstria price to stay between R$ 1.15 and its current price of R$1.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HAGA SA Indstria has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HAGA SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HAGA SA Indstria is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HAGA SA Indstria has an alpha of 0.1982, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HAGA SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for HAGA SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAGA SA Indstria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HAGA SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HAGA SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HAGA SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HAGA SA Indstria, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HAGA SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
HAGA SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HAGA SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HAGA SA Indstria can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HAGA SA Indstria may become a speculative penny stock |
HAGA SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HAGA Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HAGA SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HAGA SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.6 M |
HAGA SA Technical Analysis
HAGA SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HAGA Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HAGA SA Indstria. In general, you should focus on analyzing HAGA Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HAGA SA Predictive Forecast Models
HAGA SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many HAGA SA's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HAGA SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HAGA SA Indstria
Checking the ongoing alerts about HAGA SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HAGA SA Indstria help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HAGA SA Indstria may become a speculative penny stock |
Additional Tools for HAGA Preferred Stock Analysis
When running HAGA SA's price analysis, check to measure HAGA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HAGA SA is operating at the current time. Most of HAGA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HAGA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HAGA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HAGA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.