HAGA SA Preferred Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HAGA4 Preferred Stock  BRL 1.30  0.02  1.52%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAGA SA Indstria on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45. HAGA Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for HAGA SA Indstria is based on a synthetically constructed HAGA SAdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

HAGA SA 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAGA SA Indstria on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HAGA Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HAGA SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HAGA SA Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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HAGA SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HAGA SA's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HAGA SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.77, respectively. We have considered HAGA SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.30
1.30
Expected Value
2.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HAGA SA preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HAGA SA preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.1468
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0326
MADMean absolute deviation0.0345
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0268
SAESum of the absolute errors1.45
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. HAGA SA Indstria 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for HAGA SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAGA SA Indstria. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.302.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.152.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HAGA SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HAGA SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HAGA SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HAGA SA Indstria.

Other Forecasting Options for HAGA SA

For every potential investor in HAGA, whether a beginner or expert, HAGA SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HAGA Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HAGA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HAGA SA's price trends.

HAGA SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HAGA SA preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HAGA SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HAGA SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HAGA SA Indstria Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HAGA SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HAGA SA's current price.

HAGA SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HAGA SA preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HAGA SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HAGA SA preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HAGA SA Indstria entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HAGA SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of HAGA SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HAGA SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haga preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for HAGA Preferred Stock Analysis

When running HAGA SA's price analysis, check to measure HAGA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HAGA SA is operating at the current time. Most of HAGA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HAGA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HAGA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HAGA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.