Healthcare Global (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 474.76

HCG Stock   502.40  1.20  0.24%   
Healthcare Global's future price is the expected price of Healthcare Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Healthcare Global Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Healthcare Global Backtesting, Healthcare Global Valuation, Healthcare Global Correlation, Healthcare Global Hype Analysis, Healthcare Global Volatility, Healthcare Global History as well as Healthcare Global Performance.
  
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Healthcare Global Target Price Odds to finish below 474.76

The tendency of Healthcare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  474.76  or more in 90 days
 502.40 90 days 474.76 
about 91.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Healthcare Global to drop to  474.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 91.77 (This Healthcare Global Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Healthcare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Healthcare Global price to stay between  474.76  and its current price of 502.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Healthcare Global Enterprises has a beta of -0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Healthcare Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Healthcare Global Enterprises is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Healthcare Global Enterprises has an alpha of 0.3993, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Healthcare Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Healthcare Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthcare Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
453.24508.75510.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
474.72476.59553.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.210.31
Details

Healthcare Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Healthcare Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Healthcare Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Healthcare Global Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Healthcare Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
28.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Healthcare Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Healthcare Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Healthcare Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended June 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com

Healthcare Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Healthcare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Healthcare Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Healthcare Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding140.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Healthcare Global Technical Analysis

Healthcare Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Healthcare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Healthcare Global Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Healthcare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Healthcare Global Predictive Forecast Models

Healthcare Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Healthcare Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Healthcare Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Healthcare Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Healthcare Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Healthcare Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended June 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Healthcare Stock

Healthcare Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Healthcare Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Healthcare with respect to the benefits of owning Healthcare Global security.