Holcim Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 62.04

HCMLF Stock  USD 100.00  3.00  2.91%   
Holcim's future price is the expected price of Holcim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Holcim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Holcim Backtesting, Holcim Valuation, Holcim Correlation, Holcim Hype Analysis, Holcim Volatility, Holcim History as well as Holcim Performance.
  
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Holcim Target Price Odds to finish over 62.04

The tendency of Holcim Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 62.04  in 90 days
 100.00 90 days 62.04 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holcim to stay above $ 62.04  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Holcim probability density function shows the probability of Holcim Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holcim price to stay between $ 62.04  and its current price of $100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Holcim has a beta of 0.0996. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Holcim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Holcim will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Holcim has an alpha of 0.0677, implying that it can generate a 0.0677 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Holcim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Holcim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holcim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.62100.00101.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.8197.19110.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.5798.95100.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
100.00100.00100.00
Details

Holcim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holcim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holcim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holcim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holcim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Holcim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holcim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holcim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Holcim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holcim Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holcim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holcim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding608 M

Holcim Technical Analysis

Holcim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holcim Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holcim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holcim Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Holcim Predictive Forecast Models

Holcim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holcim's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holcim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Holcim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Holcim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holcim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Holcim Pink Sheet

Holcim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holcim Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holcim with respect to the benefits of owning Holcim security.