HUDSON GLOBAL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.63

HDH1 Stock  EUR 14.10  0.50  3.68%   
HUDSON GLOBAL's future price is the expected price of HUDSON GLOBAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HUDSON GLOBAL Backtesting, HUDSON GLOBAL Valuation, HUDSON GLOBAL Correlation, HUDSON GLOBAL Hype Analysis, HUDSON GLOBAL Volatility, HUDSON GLOBAL History as well as HUDSON GLOBAL Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in HUDSON Stock please use our How to Invest in HUDSON GLOBAL guide.
  
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HUDSON GLOBAL Target Price Odds to finish below 10.63

The tendency of HUDSON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 10.63  or more in 90 days
 14.10 90 days 10.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HUDSON GLOBAL to drop to € 10.63  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 probability density function shows the probability of HUDSON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL price to stay between € 10.63  and its current price of €14.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 has a beta of -0.22. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HUDSON GLOBAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HUDSON GLOBAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HUDSON GLOBAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2714.1016.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.8511.6814.51
Details

HUDSON GLOBAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HUDSON GLOBAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HUDSON GLOBAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HUDSON GLOBAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

HUDSON GLOBAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HUDSON GLOBAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 201.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (285 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.12 M.
HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 has accumulated about 24.2 M in cash with (1.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.99.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

HUDSON GLOBAL Technical Analysis

HUDSON GLOBAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HUDSON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001. In general, you should focus on analyzing HUDSON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HUDSON GLOBAL Predictive Forecast Models

HUDSON GLOBAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many HUDSON GLOBAL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HUDSON GLOBAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL

Checking the ongoing alerts about HUDSON GLOBAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 201.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (285 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 15.12 M.
HUDSON GLOBAL INCDL 001 has accumulated about 24.2 M in cash with (1.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.99.
Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in HUDSON Stock

HUDSON GLOBAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether HUDSON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HUDSON with respect to the benefits of owning HUDSON GLOBAL security.