Global Helium Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0459

HECOF Stock  USD 0.04  0.0006  1.59%   
Global Helium's future price is the expected price of Global Helium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global Helium Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global Helium Backtesting, Global Helium Valuation, Global Helium Correlation, Global Helium Hype Analysis, Global Helium Volatility, Global Helium History as well as Global Helium Performance.
  
Please specify Global Helium's target price for which you would like Global Helium odds to be computed.

Global Helium Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0459

The tendency of Global Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.05  after 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.05 
about 45.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global Helium to stay under $ 0.05  after 90 days from now is about 45.51 (This Global Helium Corp probability density function shows the probability of Global Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global Helium Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04  and $ 0.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Global Helium Corp has a beta of -2.27. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Global Helium Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Global Helium is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Global Helium Corp has an alpha of 0.8528, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global Helium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global Helium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Helium Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0413.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0413.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.0413.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.04
Details

Global Helium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global Helium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global Helium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global Helium Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global Helium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.85
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Global Helium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global Helium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global Helium Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Helium Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Global Helium Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Global Helium Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Global Helium Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Global Helium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Global Helium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Global Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Global Helium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Helium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.8 M

Global Helium Technical Analysis

Global Helium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global Helium Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global Helium Predictive Forecast Models

Global Helium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global Helium's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global Helium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global Helium Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global Helium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global Helium Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Global Helium Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Global Helium Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Global Helium Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Global Helium Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Global Helium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Global Pink Sheet

Global Helium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Helium security.