Koninklijke Heijmans (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.2

HEIJM Stock  EUR 27.95  0.05  0.18%   
Koninklijke Heijmans' future price is the expected price of Koninklijke Heijmans instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Koninklijke Heijmans NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Koninklijke Heijmans Backtesting, Koninklijke Heijmans Valuation, Koninklijke Heijmans Correlation, Koninklijke Heijmans Hype Analysis, Koninklijke Heijmans Volatility, Koninklijke Heijmans History as well as Koninklijke Heijmans Performance.
  
Please specify Koninklijke Heijmans' target price for which you would like Koninklijke Heijmans odds to be computed.

Koninklijke Heijmans Target Price Odds to finish below 18.2

The tendency of Koninklijke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 18.20  or more in 90 days
 27.95 90 days 18.20 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke Heijmans to drop to € 18.20  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Koninklijke Heijmans NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Koninklijke Heijmans price to stay between € 18.20  and its current price of €27.95 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Koninklijke Heijmans has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Koninklijke Heijmans average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koninklijke Heijmans NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Koninklijke Heijmans NV has an alpha of 0.0462, implying that it can generate a 0.0462 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Koninklijke Heijmans Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke Heijmans

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke Heijmans. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3327.9530.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1725.7928.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.9828.6031.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8927.9327.98
Details

Koninklijke Heijmans Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke Heijmans is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke Heijmans' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke Heijmans NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke Heijmans within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.0064

Koninklijke Heijmans Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke Heijmans for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke Heijmans can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke Heijmans NV has accumulated 9.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Koninklijke Heijmans has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Heijmans until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Heijmans' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Heijmans sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Heijmans' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Koninklijke Heijmans Technical Analysis

Koninklijke Heijmans' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke Heijmans NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Koninklijke Heijmans Predictive Forecast Models

Koninklijke Heijmans' time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke Heijmans' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Koninklijke Heijmans' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Koninklijke Heijmans

Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke Heijmans for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke Heijmans help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke Heijmans NV has accumulated 9.87 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 39.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Koninklijke Heijmans has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke Heijmans until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke Heijmans' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke Heijmans sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke Heijmans' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Koninklijke Stock

Koninklijke Heijmans financial ratios help investors to determine whether Koninklijke Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Koninklijke with respect to the benefits of owning Koninklijke Heijmans security.