Global X Gold Etf Odds of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 11.50

HGY Etf  CAD 11.50  0.09  0.79%   
Global X's future price is the expected price of Global X instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global X Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global X Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Global X Correlation, Global X Hype Analysis, Global X Volatility, Global X History as well as Global X Performance.
  
Please specify Global X's target price for which you would like Global X odds to be computed.

Global X Target Price Odds to finish over 11.50

The tendency of Global Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.50 90 days 11.50 
about 33.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global X to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.24 (This Global X Gold probability density function shows the probability of Global Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Global X Gold has a beta of -0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Global X are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Global X Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Global X Gold has an alpha of 0.082, implying that it can generate a 0.082 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global X Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global X

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global X Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6711.4212.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0811.5812.08
Details

Global X Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global X is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global X's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global X Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global X within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Global X Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global X for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global X Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund has annual holdings turnover of about 120.14% suggesting active trading
Global X Gold retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Global X Technical Analysis

Global X's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global X Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global X Predictive Forecast Models

Global X's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global X's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global X's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global X Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global X for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global X Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund has annual holdings turnover of about 120.14% suggesting active trading
Global X Gold retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether Global X Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Global X's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Global X Gold Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Global X Gold Etf:
Check out Global X Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Global X Correlation, Global X Hype Analysis, Global X Volatility, Global X History as well as Global X Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global X's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global X is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global X's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.