Hecla Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.26
| HL Stock | USD 5.69 0.06 1.07% |
Hecla |
Hecla Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 5.26
The tendency of Hecla Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.26 or more in 90 days |
| 5.69 | 90 days | 5.26 | roughly 2.56 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hecla Mining to drop to $ 5.26 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.56 (This Hecla Mining probability density function shows the probability of Hecla Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hecla Mining price to stay between $ 5.26 and its current price of $5.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.35 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This usually indicates Hecla Mining market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hecla Mining is expected to follow. Additionally Hecla Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hecla Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hecla Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hecla Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hecla Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hecla Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hecla Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hecla Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hecla Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Hecla Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hecla Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hecla Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hecla Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hecla Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 720.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (84.22 M) with gross profit of 260.09 M. | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finbold.com: Disposition of 21318 shares by Aguiar Rodriguez Carlos Roberto of Hecla Mining subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hecla Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hecla Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hecla Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hecla Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 605.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.4 M |
Hecla Mining Technical Analysis
Hecla Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hecla Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hecla Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hecla Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hecla Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Hecla Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hecla Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hecla Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hecla Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hecla Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hecla Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hecla Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hecla Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 720.23 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (84.22 M) with gross profit of 260.09 M. | |
| About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finbold.com: Disposition of 21318 shares by Aguiar Rodriguez Carlos Roberto of Hecla Mining subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Hecla Mining Backtesting, Hecla Mining Valuation, Hecla Mining Correlation, Hecla Mining Hype Analysis, Hecla Mining Volatility, Hecla Mining History as well as Hecla Mining Performance. For more information on how to buy Hecla Stock please use our How to buy in Hecla Stock guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hecla Mining. If investors know Hecla will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hecla Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share 1.364 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.347 |
The market value of Hecla Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hecla that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hecla Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hecla Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hecla Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hecla Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hecla Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hecla Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hecla Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.