High Liner Foods Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 12.9

HLNFF Stock  USD 10.32  0.55  5.63%   
High Liner's future price is the expected price of High Liner instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of High Liner Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out High Liner Backtesting, High Liner Valuation, High Liner Correlation, High Liner Hype Analysis, High Liner Volatility, High Liner History as well as High Liner Performance.
  
Please specify High Liner's target price for which you would like High Liner odds to be computed.

High Liner Target Price Odds to finish over 12.9

The tendency of High Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.90  or more in 90 days
 10.32 90 days 12.90 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of High Liner to move over $ 12.90  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This High Liner Foods probability density function shows the probability of High Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of High Liner Foods price to stay between its current price of $ 10.32  and $ 12.90  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon High Liner Foods has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding High Liner are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, High Liner Foods is likely to outperform the market. Additionally High Liner Foods has an alpha of 0.0995, implying that it can generate a 0.0995 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   High Liner Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for High Liner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as High Liner Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9210.3211.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.038.4311.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5110.9112.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.139.7810.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as High Liner. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against High Liner's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, High Liner's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in High Liner Foods.

High Liner Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. High Liner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the High Liner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold High Liner Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of High Liner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.004

High Liner Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of High Liner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for High Liner Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

High Liner Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of High Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential High Liner's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. High Liner's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.4 M

High Liner Technical Analysis

High Liner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. High Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of High Liner Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing High Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

High Liner Predictive Forecast Models

High Liner's time-series forecasting models is one of many High Liner's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary High Liner's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about High Liner Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about High Liner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for High Liner Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in High Pink Sheet

High Liner financial ratios help investors to determine whether High Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in High with respect to the benefits of owning High Liner security.