H Lundbeck (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.90
| HLUN-B Stock | 43.90 1.00 2.23% |
HLUN-B |
H Lundbeck Target Price Odds to finish over 43.90
The tendency of HLUN-B Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 43.90 | 90 days | 43.90 | about 83.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of H Lundbeck to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 83.71 (This H Lundbeck AS probability density function shows the probability of HLUN-B Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon H Lundbeck has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, H Lundbeck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding H Lundbeck AS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally H Lundbeck AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. H Lundbeck Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for H Lundbeck
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as H Lundbeck AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.H Lundbeck Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. H Lundbeck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the H Lundbeck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold H Lundbeck AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of H Lundbeck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
H Lundbeck Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of H Lundbeck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for H Lundbeck AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| H Lundbeck AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
H Lundbeck Technical Analysis
H Lundbeck's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HLUN-B Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of H Lundbeck AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing HLUN-B Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
H Lundbeck Predictive Forecast Models
H Lundbeck's time-series forecasting models is one of many H Lundbeck's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary H Lundbeck's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about H Lundbeck AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about H Lundbeck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for H Lundbeck AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| H Lundbeck AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in HLUN-B Stock
H Lundbeck financial ratios help investors to determine whether HLUN-B Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HLUN-B with respect to the benefits of owning H Lundbeck security.