Neinor Homes (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.12
| HOME Stock | EUR 15.16 0.02 0.13% |
Neinor |
Neinor Homes Target Price Odds to finish below 15.12
The tendency of Neinor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 15.12 or more in 90 days |
| 15.16 | 90 days | 15.12 | about 80.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Neinor Homes to drop to € 15.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 80.37 (This Neinor Homes SLU probability density function shows the probability of Neinor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Neinor Homes SLU price to stay between € 15.12 and its current price of €15.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Neinor Homes SLU has a beta of -0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Neinor Homes are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Neinor Homes SLU is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Neinor Homes SLU has an alpha of 0.2989, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Neinor Homes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Neinor Homes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neinor Homes SLU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neinor Homes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Neinor Homes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Neinor Homes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Neinor Homes SLU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Neinor Homes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Neinor Homes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Neinor Homes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Neinor Homes SLU can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Neinor Homes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Neinor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Neinor Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neinor Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 283.3 M |
Neinor Homes Technical Analysis
Neinor Homes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Neinor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Neinor Homes SLU. In general, you should focus on analyzing Neinor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Neinor Homes Predictive Forecast Models
Neinor Homes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Neinor Homes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Neinor Homes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Neinor Homes SLU
Checking the ongoing alerts about Neinor Homes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Neinor Homes SLU help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Neinor Stock
Neinor Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neinor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neinor with respect to the benefits of owning Neinor Homes security.